Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Siedlce v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
2-1
HT 2-0
Polonia Warszawa
POL2
Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Polonia Warszawa — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Siedlce and Polonia Warszawa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 44% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 56%, shots finished 8-17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 1.75 for Polonia Warszawa.
What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 36%, draw 23%, Polonia Warszawa 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) went the other way.