Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence and Portland Hearts of Pine couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Charlotte Independence at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 55% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 45%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.77.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Charlotte Independence 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 41%, draw 30%, Portland Hearts of Pine 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlotte Independence) went the other way.