Alta 1-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Jul 2025

Alta
1-1 HT 1-0
Naples
📅20/07/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.0pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.50/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.17
+60% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
10.7 Crosses 13.5
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Naples
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 1.71
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
479 Passes 227
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
29.06.2025 Alta Alta 4-1 HT 1-0 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
1-1
AWAY Naples
0.43 xG 1.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
485 Passes 217
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alta vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Naples couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Alta had 65% of the ball to Naples's 35%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.43 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Alta vs Naples?

Alta 1-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alta 39%, draw 30%, Naples 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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