Kalmar 2-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Jul 2026

Kalmar
2-2 HT 2-1
Malmö FF
📅20/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2026

Kalmar vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.34
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
19%
5.56
X/2
12%
6.19
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.8
2/2
15%
3.95
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.44
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.2 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Kalmar vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
322 Passes 523
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
24.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-0 HT 4-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
08.10.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
01.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
28.08.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.04.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Kalmar 2-2 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
2-2
AWAY Malmö FF
1.31 xG 0.92
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
255 Passes 645
27 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar and Malmö FF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kalmar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.31 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kalmar and 1.50 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Malmö FF?

Kalmar 2-2 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 41%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalmar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
20 Jul 2026
20:00 Örgryte vs Djurgarden Analysis →