Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.51
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.96/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.96
-47% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
23.7 Crosses 10.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leicester City U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.73 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
321 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 4-2 HT 4-2 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
3-1
AWAY Leicester City U21
1.94 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
429 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion got the better of Leicester City U21 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burton Albion as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 59% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 41%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.94 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Leicester City U21?

Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester City U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 49%, draw 25%, Leicester City U21 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burton Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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