Rotherham United 2-0 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.96/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.73
+134% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
30.2 Crosses 24.9
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
16.07.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United HAZ
26.04.2008 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
06.10.2007 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 2-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.09.2007 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
2-0
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.26 xG 1.75
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
139 Passes 555
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United got the better of Mansfield Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rotherham United had 27% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 73%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 1.26 to 1.75 — on chances, Mansfield Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rotherham United and 0.75 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town?

Rotherham United 2-0 Mansfield Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 44%, draw 23%, Mansfield Town 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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