Stevenage 1-0 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 20 Aug 2024

Stevenage
1-0 HT 1-0
Crystal Palace U21
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Stevenage vs Crystal Palace U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.65
2-3 Goals
42%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
5.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+15.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-15.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stevenage v Crystal Palace U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.37/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.24
+44% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
30.7 Crosses 12.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Stevenage vs Crystal Palace U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3.35 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
32 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
292 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.11.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 5-2 HT 3-2 Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21 İNTK

Stevenage 1-0 Crystal Palace U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-0
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
1.76 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
288 Passes 337
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Crystal Palace U21 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 48% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 52%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.76 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Crystal Palace U21?

Stevenage 1-0 Crystal Palace U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 61%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace U21 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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