Kickers Emden 5-1 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.06
-45% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.04.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 2-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 2-4 HT 0-2 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kickers Emden
5-1
AWAY Werder Bremen II
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Emden cruised past Werder Bremen II 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and on the day Kickers Emden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kickers Emden had 46% of the ball to Werder Bremen II's 54%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kickers Emden and 3.50 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Werder Bremen II?

Kickers Emden 5-1 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 40%, draw 24%, Werder Bremen II 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kickers Emden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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