Hertha Berlin II 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
17.03.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
29.11.2019 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II squeezed past Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hertha Berlin II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 50% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Erfurt's 50%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 0.60 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Hertha Berlin II 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 40%, draw 23%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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