Hertha Berlin II 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.89/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.40
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
17.03.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
29.11.2019 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
1-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II edged past Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hertha Berlin II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 56% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Erfurt's 44%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 0.75 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Hertha Berlin II 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 39%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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