Buchbach 1-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2024

Buchbach
1-1 HT 1-1
Bayern München II
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Buchbach vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.7pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.4pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buchbach v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.53/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.15
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 18.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Buchbach vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.75 xG 2.13
37% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
219 Passes 495
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
10.03.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 4-4 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
27.04.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
17.09.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
21.11.2014 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 2-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL

Buchbach 1-1 Bayern München II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buchbach
1-1
AWAY Bayern München II
0.87 xG 2.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
236 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach and Bayern München II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Buchbach had 45% of the ball to Bayern München II's 55%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.87 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buchbach and 2.17 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Bayern München II?

Buchbach 1-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 29%, draw 18%, Bayern München II 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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