Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.63
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
204 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
15.07.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
16.07.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
19.10.2019 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0-0
AWAY Illertissen
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg and Illertissen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Viktoria Aschaffenburg had 47% of the ball to Illertissen's 53%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 0.83 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 33%, draw 26%, Illertissen 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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