Armadale 1-3 Balcatta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.8pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armadale EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Balcatta EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
3.80/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.63
+83% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
430 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armadale
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Balcatta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Balcatta Balcatta 1-0 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
27.01.2024 Armadale Armadale 1-1 Balcatta Balcatta BAGS
19.08.2023 Balcatta Balcatta 0-1 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
06.05.2023 Armadale Armadale 5-3 HT 2-2 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
02.07.2022 Balcatta Balcatta 1-3 HT 1-2 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
24.07.2021 Balcatta Balcatta 1-2 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVUSB
POST-MATCH Armadale vs Balcatta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balcatta got the better of Armadale 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Armadale at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Armadale had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Armadale and 1.17 for Balcatta.

What was the final score of Armadale vs Balcatta?

Armadale 1-3 Balcatta in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armadale vs Balcatta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Armadale win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Armadale 53%, draw 23%, Balcatta 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Armadale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Armadale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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