Balcatta 1-0 Armadale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
51%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.0pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balcatta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Armadale EU Bookmakers 50%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.52/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/2.19
-64% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balcatta
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Armadale
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Armadale Armadale 1-1 Balcatta Balcatta BAGS
19.08.2023 Balcatta Balcatta 0-1 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
06.05.2023 Armadale Armadale 5-3 HT 2-2 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
02.07.2022 Balcatta Balcatta 1-3 HT 1-2 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
24.07.2021 Balcatta Balcatta 1-2 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVUSB
17.04.2021 Armadale Armadale 1-1 HT 1-1 Balcatta Balcatta AVUSB
POST-MATCH Balcatta vs Armadale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balcatta edged past Armadale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Armadale at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Armadale led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Balcatta and 2.17 for Armadale.

What was the final score of Balcatta vs Armadale?

Balcatta 1-0 Armadale in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balcatta vs Armadale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Armadale win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Balcatta 29%, draw 20%, Armadale 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Armadale), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Armadale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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