Vitoria vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
2-2
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 2-2 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria and Cruzeiro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 30% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 70%, shots finished 14-25, expected goals 1.41 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 1.67 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Vitoria 2-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 41%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.