JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 20 Aug 2024

JJK Jyvaskyla
1-2 HT 0-1
KuPS Ak.
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
FİN3 – 2024

JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.81
2-3 Goals
46%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
8%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JJK Jyvaskyla v KuPS Ak. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.02/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.05
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
465 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak. Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
09.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-1 HT 0-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
POST-MATCH JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. nicked a narrow win over JJK Jyvaskyla 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JJK Jyvaskyla at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.?

JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a JJK Jyvaskyla win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split JJK Jyvaskyla 59%, draw 22%, KuPS Ak. 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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