Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-0 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 34%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.07
-31% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-2 HT 0-2 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL2
18.09.2022 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 1-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1-0
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg edged past Polonia Warszawa 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kotwica Kolobrzeg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 49% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polonia Warszawa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 1.50 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Polonia Warszawa?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-0 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kotwica Kolobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 42%, draw 25%, Polonia Warszawa 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
20 Aug 2024
21:30 Chrobry Glogow vs Stal Rzeszow Analysis →
21:30 Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS Analysis →