Warta Poznan 2-4 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.36/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.89
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
260 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
01.09.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
2-4
AWAY Lodzki KS
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS got the better of Warta Poznan 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Lodzki KS made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 36% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 64%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Warta Poznan and 0.50 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS?

Warta Poznan 2-4 Lodzki KS in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 39%, draw 25%, Lodzki KS 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Warta Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ BTTS Yes
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