Al Jubail 0-1 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒20:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jubail
0-1
AWAY Al Safa
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Jubail vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa edged past Al Jubail 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Safa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Jubail had 46% of the ball to Al Safa's 54%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Al Safa?

Al Jubail 0-1 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jubail win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 39%, draw 23%, Al Safa 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Jubail) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jubail) ✓ BTTS No
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