Al Jabalain 0-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.44/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.16
+37% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
14.09.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
02.02.2023 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
31.08.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
0-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly edged past Al Jabalain 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Faisaly as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 48% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Jabalain and 2.00 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Faisaly?

Al Jabalain 0-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 29%, draw 26%, Al Faisaly 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ BTTS Yes
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