Rayo Zuliano 3-2 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.78/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.96
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
20.5 Crosses 26.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 2.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
268 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
07.10.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.02.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
3-2
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
2.45 xG 2.08
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
125 Passes 344
60% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 17
4 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 33% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 67%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 2.45 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 2.00 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Rayo Zuliano 3-2 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 31%, draw 25%, Academia Puerto Cabello 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ BTTS No
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