Homburg 6-0 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.79
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 Homburg Homburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg ran out comfortable winners over Bahlinger SC 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Homburg and 0.83 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Bahlinger SC?

Homburg 6-0 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Homburg 52%, draw 23%, Bahlinger SC 25%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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