Homburg 0-2 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

Homburg
0-2 HT 0-1
Bahlinger SC
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Homburg vs Bahlinger SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Homburg v Bahlinger SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.74
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Homburg vs Bahlinger SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Homburg Homburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
24.04.2021 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC beat Homburg 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Homburg and 0.67 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Bahlinger SC?

Homburg 0-2 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Homburg 48%, draw 24%, Bahlinger SC 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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