Huracan 1-3 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.27
6+ Goals
11%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.89
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.35
X/1
15%
3.68
X/2
9%
12.05
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
12%
11.2
2/X
7%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huracan EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 18%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huracan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.36 xG 1.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
245 Passes 390
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 22
13.08.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huracan
1-3
AWAY Once Caldas
1.71 xG 3.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
257 Passes 122
73% Pass Accuracy 57%
27 Box Touches 25
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huracan vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas beat Huracan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Huracan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Huracan had 63% of the ball to Once Caldas's 37%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.71 to 3.08.

What was the final score of Huracan vs Once Caldas?

Huracan 1-3 Once Caldas in the Copa Sudamericana on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huracan vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huracan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Huracan 50%, draw 26%, Once Caldas 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huracan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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