Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
3-1
HT 2-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa squeezed past Independiente Del Valle 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 28% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 72%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.64 to 1.88 — on chances, Independiente Del Valle could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle?
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Copa Sudamericana on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 28%, draw 22%, Independiente Del Valle 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.