Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
3-1
HT 2-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKVK
0-1
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle edged past Mushuc Runa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 62% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 38%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.53 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Del Valle's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.83 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa?
Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 55%, draw 22%, Mushuc Runa 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.