Gwangju 2-0 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.29
No
48%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
5.19
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.6pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.61/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -75%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
380 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-3 HT 1-3 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
30.08.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2
05.07.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 2-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
25.05.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
23.04.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
20.03.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju got the better of Bucheon 1995 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gwangju as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?

Gwangju 2-0 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 47%, draw 23%, Bucheon 1995 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
20 Aug 2025
13:00 Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon Analysis →