Bucheon 1995 2-3 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Jun 2024

Bucheon 1995
2-3 HT 1-3
Gwangju
📅19/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.54
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
9.26
X/2
18%
3.85
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.24
2/X
5%
15.35
Value flag · X/1 at 9.26 — our 16% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+11.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-12.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bucheon 1995 v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 58%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -52%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
272 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2
05.07.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 2-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
25.05.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
23.04.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
20.03.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2
18.09.2019 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Bucheon 1995 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gwangju as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju?

Bucheon 1995 2-3 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 33%, draw 25%, Gwangju 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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