Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.25
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
9%
8.79
X/2
20%
3.88
X/X
19%
4.62
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.33
2/X
4%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
0.94/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.88
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen squeezed past Jeonbuk Motors 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 26%, draw 31%, Jeonbuk Motors 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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