Incheon United 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Jun 2024

Incheon United
0-0 HT 0-0
Gimcheon Sangmu
📅19/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
11%
3.87
X/2
9%
8.53
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
18%
7.01
2/X
8%
16.15
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.01 — our 18% vs market 10.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-13.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Gimcheon Sangmu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 25%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.29/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.46
+36% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
– Crosses 12.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.67 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 453
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
16.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
13.03.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
29.08.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 2-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
11.07.2020 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Incheon United and 1.17 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Incheon United 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 39%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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