Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.24
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.95
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.9
X/2
7%
5.93
X/X
15%
3.7
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.71
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +33%
1.58/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.22
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.8 Crosses 19.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
08.02.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JSK
05.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 HT 1-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
16.03.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
16.09.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
13.05.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.19 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
186 Passes 220
63% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 45% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 55%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.19 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5
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