Stoke City 1-3 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 35% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
11%
4.71
X/2
8%
7.02
X/X
19%
4.54
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.08
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.03
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.4 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.14 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
24.09.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
11.02.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.09.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-3 HT 0-2 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
16.01.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
25.09.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 2-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-3
AWAY Hull City
1.02 xG 1.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
329 Passes 452
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City got the better of Stoke City 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Hull City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stoke City had 43% of the ball to Hull City's 57%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stoke City and 0.50 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Hull City?

Stoke City 1-3 Hull City in the England - Championship on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 37%, draw 30%, Hull City 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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