Hull City 0-2 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.36
X/2
6%
7.43
X/X
14%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
13%
5.54
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.40/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.27
-8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.7 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stoke City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.76 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
11.02.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.09.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-3 HT 0-2 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
16.01.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
25.09.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 2-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
07.03.2020 Stoke City Stoke City 5-1 HT 3-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
0-2
AWAY Stoke City
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
413 Passes 216
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City saw off Hull City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hull City had 62% of the ball to Stoke City's 38%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hull City and 2.17 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Stoke City?

Hull City 0-2 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hull City 45%, draw 29%, Stoke City 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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