Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Queens Park Rangers
2-1 HT 0-0
Birmingham
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.36
X/2
9%
7.17
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.55
2/X
10%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.30/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.45
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.6 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Birmingham
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
252 Passes 247
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
18.03.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
28.10.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 2-0 HT 2-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
02.01.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
28.09.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
27.02.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 2-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2-1
AWAY Birmingham
1.72 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
347 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers squeezed past Birmingham 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Queens Park Rangers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 55% of the ball to Birmingham's 45%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham?

Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 46%, draw 27%, Birmingham 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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