Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Millwall
1-1 HT 1-0
West Bromwich
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Millwall vs West Bromwich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.78
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
15%
5.9
X/2
14%
4.75
X/X
12%
3.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.52
2/X
10%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v West Bromwich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.16/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.20
+4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.0 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Millwall vs West Bromwich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
2W-3D-1L
AWAY West Bromwich
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 1.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
187 Passes 272
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
22.10.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
29.01.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
11.09.2021 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
09.02.2020 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL

Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-1
AWAY West Bromwich
1.43 xG 1.14
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
171 Passes 478
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall and West Bromwich shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Millwall had 32% of the ball to West Bromwich's 68%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.43 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millwall and 0.67 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Millwall vs West Bromwich?

Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Millwall 32%, draw 29%, West Bromwich 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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