Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
1-1 HT 1-0
Swansea City
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.58
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.32
X/2
10%
5.7
X/X
16%
4.44
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.95
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.22/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.4 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Swansea City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 Passes 438
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
13.04.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
25.11.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
05.07.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
09.11.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
23.02.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 HT 3-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1-1
AWAY Swansea City
1.74 xG 1.15
31% Ball Possession 69%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
166 Passes 476
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday and Swansea City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 31% of the ball to Swansea City's 69%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.74 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.83 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City?

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 40%, draw 29%, Swansea City 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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