Bristol City 1-0 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Bristol City
1-0 HT 0-0
Leicester City
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Bristol City vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.94
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
7%
9.82
X/2
25%
3.86
X/X
12%
4.89
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.16
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol City v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 59%
-5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +25%
1.05/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.90
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +47%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
15.9 Crosses 10.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bristol City vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leicester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.29 xG 2.31
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
257 Passes 661
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
12.01.2013 Bristol City Bristol City 0-4 HT 0-3 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
06.10.2012 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
06.03.2012 Bristol City Bristol City 3-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
17.08.2011 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
18.02.2011 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Bristol City 1-0 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
1-0
AWAY Leicester City
1.07 xG 2.06
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
307 Passes 510
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City nicked a narrow win over Leicester City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bristol City had 39% of the ball to Leicester City's 61%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.07 to 2.06 — on chances, Leicester City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bristol City and 2.00 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Leicester City?

Bristol City 1-0 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 21%, draw 26%, Leicester City 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
29 Mar 2024
16:00 Millwall vs West Bromwich Analysis →
18:00 Southampton vs Middlesbrough Analysis →
18:00 Hull City vs Stoke City Analysis →
18:00 Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City Analysis →
18:00 Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham Analysis →