Norwich City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.85
X/1
20%
3.87
X/2
6%
12.4
X/X
11%
6.28
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
21.1
2/2
8%
9.09
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.83/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.4 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
549 Passes 188
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
23.09.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 6-2 HT 4-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
14.03.2009 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
13.09.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
04.12.2007 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.11.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.01.2007 Norwich City Norwich City 1-3 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
2-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.20 xG 1.20
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
486 Passes 232
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City edged past Plymouth Argyle 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norwich City had 65% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 35%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.20 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Norwich City and 2.33 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Norwich City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 56%, draw 25%, Plymouth Argyle 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Over 2.5
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