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Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Chelsea (K) 1-0 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) squeezed past Aston Villa (K) 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chelsea (K) had 47% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 53%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.01.
What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Chelsea (K) 1-0 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 63%, draw 25%, Aston Villa (K) 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.