AFC Malmö 0-1 Eskilsminne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 23%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.73/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.11
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Eskilsminne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 1-2 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
0-1
AWAY Eskilsminne
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Eskilsminne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eskilsminne squeezed past AFC Malmö 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. AFC Malmö carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 60% of the ball to Eskilsminne's 40%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Malmö and 1.50 for Eskilsminne.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Eskilsminne?

AFC Malmö 0-1 Eskilsminne in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Eskilsminne?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 55%, draw 24%, Eskilsminne 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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