Eskilsminne 2-0 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 42%
+24% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.99/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.45
+40% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eskilsminne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Malmö
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.04.2023 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 1-2 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eskilsminne
2-0
AWAY AFC Malmö
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eskilsminne beat AFC Malmö 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eskilsminne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eskilsminne had 36% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 64%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmö?

Eskilsminne 2-0 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eskilsminne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eskilsminne 38%, draw 24%, AFC Malmö 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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