Falkenbergs FF 0-1 Lunds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+12.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
2.01/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.42
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkenbergs FF
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Lunds BK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 2-0 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
21.05.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 2-2 HT 2-2 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ3
05.11.2022 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 5-0 HT 2-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
18.06.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-3 HT 1-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkenbergs FF
0-1
AWAY Lunds BK
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Falkenbergs FF vs Lunds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK nicked a narrow win over Falkenbergs FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Falkenbergs FF at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Falkenbergs FF had 51% of the ball to Lunds BK's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Falkenbergs FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Falkenbergs FF and 0.75 for Lunds BK.

What was the final score of Falkenbergs FF vs Lunds BK?

Falkenbergs FF 0-1 Lunds BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkenbergs FF vs Lunds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkenbergs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Falkenbergs FF 51%, draw 21%, Lunds BK 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkenbergs FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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