Stocksund 1-0 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.5pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 50%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.06/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.44
-21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
355 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hammarby Talang
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 0-1 HT 0-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
06.05.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stocksund
1-0
AWAY Hammarby Talang
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stocksund squeezed past Hammarby Talang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby Talang at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stocksund had 38% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 62%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stocksund and 0.50 for Hammarby Talang.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs Hammarby Talang?

Stocksund 1-0 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 32%, draw 25%, Hammarby Talang 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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