20/09/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Farsta vs Kungsangen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
23%
Draw
22%
28%
Away Win
24%
44%
Under 2.5
35%
56%
Over 2.5
65%
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
47%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farsta v Kungsangen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Farsta
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kungsangen
EU Bookmakers 28%
-41% /
-41%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+3%
2.00/3.48
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.20/1.71
-5%
/
-65%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
+13%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
394 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Farsta vs Kungsangen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Farsta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Kungsangen
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Farsta vs Kungsangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Farsta edged past Kungsangen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Farsta as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Farsta vs Kungsangen?
Farsta 2-1 Kungsangen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farsta vs Kungsangen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farsta win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Farsta 48%, draw 23%, Kungsangen 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farsta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Farsta)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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