Hassleholms IF 4-1 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.29
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-18.5pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.7pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassleholms IF EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.34/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.76
-10% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hassleholms IF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.06.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hassleholms IF vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassleholms IF ran out comfortable winners over Hogaborgs BK 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hassleholms IF as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Hassleholms IF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Hassleholms IF 4-1 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassleholms IF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hassleholms IF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hassleholms IF 55%, draw 25%, Hogaborgs BK 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassleholms IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hassleholms IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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