Deportivo Alaves 2-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Sep 2024

Deportivo Alaves
2-1 HT 1-0
Sevilla
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
14%
7.01
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.59
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.45/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.55
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.9 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sevilla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.11
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
195 Passes 464
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.08.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 4-3 HT 2-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
17.01.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
04.03.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.11.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
23.05.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 2-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2-1
AWAY Sevilla
1.10 xG 0.52
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
162 Passes 421
62% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves edged past Sevilla 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Alaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 34% of the ball to Sevilla's 66%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.50 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla?

Deportivo Alaves 2-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 36%, draw 32%, Sevilla 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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