Cagliari vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cagliari v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Cagliari
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Cagliari
İTA
Cagliari 0-2 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli got the better of Cagliari 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cagliari at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cagliari had 61% of the ball to Empoli's 39%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.30 to 0.84 — on chances, Cagliari could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Empoli?
Cagliari 0-2 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 44%, draw 28%, Empoli 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cagliari) went the other way.