Schalke 04 3-5 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.41
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.52
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
12%
5.61
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
14%
5.53
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.70
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.8 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 Passes 161
79% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-5 HT 2-3 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
07.11.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-4 HT 1-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
16.04.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
27.11.2016 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
30.01.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
22.08.2015 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
3-5
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.79 xG 2.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
348 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 beat Schalke 04 5-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Schalke 04 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 51% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 49%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.79 to 2.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98?

Schalke 04 3-5 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 42%, draw 28%, Darmstadt 98 31%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schalke 04), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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