Unterhaching 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Sep 2024

Unterhaching
2-2 HT 0-1
Erzgebirge Aue
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Unterhaching vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.0
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
12%
7.24
X/2
9%
4.72
X/X
14%
4.99
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.74
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Unterhaching v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.70
+7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.2 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Unterhaching vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
11.11.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
19.01.2007 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
13.08.2006 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
19.02.2006 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 HT 0-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
16.09.2005 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2

Unterhaching 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
2-2
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
244 Passes 405
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 30
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching and Erzgebirge Aue shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 41% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 59%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Unterhaching and 0.83 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Unterhaching 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 30%, draw 30%, Erzgebirge Aue 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ BTTS Yes
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