RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
0.60/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/2.84
-11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
7.0 Crosses 32.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.20 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
216 Passes 374
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
4 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
2-0
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.29 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
250 Passes 264
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 25
6 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) saw off Werder Bremen (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; RB Leipzig (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 47% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 53%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.29 to 1.28.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 40%, draw 28%, Werder Bremen (K) 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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